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The opening week of the conflict did not topple Iran, but it shifted the regional balance of power, signaling a reordering of influence as the war drags on. Iran's persistence continues to pressure US and Israel, potentially increasing military and political costs for both, and prompting questions about alliance cohesion, deterrence, and regional stability. Analysts warn that worst-case scenarios must be anticipated, including escalation, spillover, sanctions, and economic disruption, and stress the need for prudent contingency planning, diplomatic channels, and measured responses to prevent a broader crisis. The assessment, attributed to Ali Sahin, a political analyst and Gaziantep MP, emphasizes the urgency of preparedness and strategic restraint to limit spillover effects on neighboring states and global markets.
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