Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz

Crypto May 6, 2026

## Market Snapshot The β€œTrump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 27.5% YES, down from 28% 24 hours ago and significantly from 60% a week ago. The β€œStrait of Hormuz ...

CENTCOM redirects 50 vessels amid Strait of Hormuz tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization: Currently priced at ? YES. Recent news about vessel redirection suggests disruptions may continue. Iran Shipping Agreement: Currently priceοΏ½...

Iran denies plans to target UAE amid regional tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran Military Action Against Neighbors: The market is currently priced at 100% YES for Iran conducting a military strike against its neighbors by April 30, 2026. No movement has bοΏ½...

IDF destroys Hezbollah tunnel in southern Lebanon amid ongoing conflict

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The β€œIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 8% YES, down from 10% 24 hours ago. The β€œIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” m...

UAE bans travel to Iran, Lebanon, Iraq amid rising regional tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for β€œWill Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?” is currently priced at 100% YES. This pricing reflects consistent expectations of military action by Iran against it...

US envoy submits nuclear amendments in Iran talks, signaling negotiation shift

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently unpriced, with potential movements expected. The market has no active sub-markets, and there has been no recent volume. ## KοΏ½...

44 Iranian seafarers killed amid US-Israeli conflict escalation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iranian airspace closure markets have shown significant movement following the report of 44 Iranian seafarers’ deaths in the US-Israeli conflict. The May 8 closure market is at 2...

Iran airspace closure risk rises amid ongoing conflict, disrupts travel, energy markets

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Iran closing its airspace by May 8 is priced at 35.5% YES, up from 14% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, the May 31 closure market shows 62% YES, rising from 34%. ThοΏ½...

Fed’s Williams cites Iran war supply disruptions as inflation risk factor

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 market shows uncertainty, with no clear trend emerging. Fed Decision June and July market sees a decline to 2.4% YES for June cuts, while July hοΏ½...

Strive adds 444 BTC as treasury climbs to 15,000 Bitcoin

Crypto May 5, 2026

The latest purchase puts Strive near Riot and Coinbase among the largest public company Bitcoin treasuries. Strive added 444 Bitcoin to its treasury, lifting its total holdings to 15,000 BTC as the cοΏ½...


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