Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
The market for βRussia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31β currently stands at 77.5% YES, slightly down from 78% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the βRussia x Ukraine ceasefire b...
## Market Snapshot
The market on βStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Juneβ is currently priced at a consistent 58% YES. The βTrumpβs Hormuz Blockade Announcementβ market h...
## Market Snapshot
Iran leadership change by December 31 market is currently priced at 33.5% YES, a slight decline from 34% a day ago. The Iran leadership status by end of 2026 market remains in focοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Spirit Airlines Shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with an expectation that Spirit will cease operations by May 31. The collapse was triggered by a severe fuel priceοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil market is considering the likelihood of reaching $150 in May, currently priced with an implied probability of increase. The US-Iran nuclear deal market reflects a decοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 are showing a shift, with a decrease in expectations for rate cuts. The Fed Decision June and July market indicates a 3.6% YES probability for aοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
In the βIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026β market, the current pricing stands at 9.5% YES, a slight increase from 9% over the past 24 hours. The βIsrael withdraw...
## Market Snapshot
The market concerning the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 32.2% YES, up from 29% 24 hours ago. The Iranian demands market remaiοΏ½...
## Market Snapshot
The βIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026β market is currently priced at 2% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The June 30, 2026 market is at 9.5% YES, showing a slight i...
## Market Snapshot
The market for βWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?β currently shows a 2.6% YES probability, down from 3% in the past 24 hours. This suggests a decrease in perc...
