Articles by Estefano Gomez
An 18-month NYT probe points to the Blockstream CEO as Bitcoin's creator, but the evidence boils down to hyphenation habits and circumstantial overlap. The New York Times just published the crypto eqοΏ½...
The first major US commercial bank to offer a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded product is charging just 0.14% annually, directly undercutting BlackRock's dominant IBIT fund. Morgan Stanley just did sometοΏ½...
Trumpβs statement on managing Iranβs uranium as part of the ceasefire deal has pushed odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 to 99.6%
YES, up from 14% just 24 hours ago.
Market reaction
Sub-...
Some Republicans are calling for President Trump to seek Congressional approval for continued military operations in Iran. The market for US forces entering Iran by April 30 sits at 99.8%
YES, downοΏ½...
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq released footage of an βAl-Arqabβ missile launch targeting U.S. bases. The odds of U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 sit at 99.8%
YES, nearly unchanged after a...
Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a $159 million outflow on April 7, but odds of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end on Polymarket sit at 36.5%
YES, up from 31% yesterday.
Market reaction
The outflowsοΏ½...
Iran has agreed to a 14-day ceasefire contingent on the Strait of Hormuz reopening. The ceasefire by April 15 market now sits at 100%
YES, up from 12% just 24 hours ago.
The April 15 ceasefire marοΏ½...
Iranβs ability to maintain regional influence despite military setbacks complicates ceasefire prospects. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 market is at 100%
YES, up from 12% just a day ago.
The A...
Iranβs drone attack on a Bahraini facility was extinguished with no casualties. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 market sits at 8.5%
YES, down from 12% yesterday.
Market reaction
The drop in r...
Iranβs SNSC announced plans for talks with the US in Islamabad, stating war objectives are mostly achieved. The ceasefire by April 15 market is at 100%
YES, up from 12% just 24 hours ago.
## Mark...
