Articles by Estefano Gomez
The Kelp DAO exploit drained $292 million, leaving Aave with $196 million in bad debt. Ethereum reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026, sits at 4%
YES, unchanged this week.
Market reaction
The expοΏ½...
Baker Hughes has warned that the Strait of Hormuz could remain closed through 2026, and the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 0.5%
YES, unchanged from a day ago.
οΏ½...
The IDF struck Al-Khaiam in southern Lebanon while fighting with Hezbollah continues. The market for an Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is at 100%
YES.
The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefοΏ½...
Bitcoin has reclaimed the -0.5 MVRV pricing band at $73,700, with this level now acting as support and a mean reversion target around $96,000. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 byοΏ½...
Hedge funds are selling tech stocks at the fastest rate in two years, raising concerns about broader market sentiment. The Polymarket contract on the S&P 500 opening higher on April 24 is at 99.9οΏ½...
Vladimir Putinβs approval ratings have fallen for the seventh consecutive week to their lowest level since the war in Ukraine began, while the market on Putin being out as President of Russia by Jun...
Donald Trump announced that Iran made a new negotiation offer following the cancellation of negotiatorsβ trip to Pakistan. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by May 31 is at 30%
YES, down from 38% a...
Israelβs military strikes in Gaza, killing a dozen people, have added political pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu. The βNetanyahu out by June 30β contract trades at 5.5%
YES, down from 6% y...
President Trump was evacuated from the White House correspondentsβ dinner in Washington, D.C., during a period of heightened US-Iran tensions. The market for βTrump announces end of military opera...
Shipping officials have warned that the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is escalating volatility as Iran intensifies efforts to keep the strait shut. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal οΏ½...
